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The National Trade Estimates ("NTE")
What It does and does not say About U.S.-Japan Auto Trade
- The NTE IS the U.S. Governments catalogue of alleged trade barriers that the U.S. claims other nations use to limit U.S. exports. The NTEs allegations about U.S.-Japan auto trade are being made in a climate of increasing U.S. pressure for specific Japanese purchasing commitments.
- The NTE IS part of a larger U.S. campaign. The allegations in the NTE are a follow-up to prior U.S. statements with respect to the auto trade issues since the Framework agreement was concluded--all demanding "numerical indicators" and "measures of progress," coupled with new, increased, and "enforceable" parts purchasing plans.
- The NTE is NOT an objective analysis. Many objective reviews of U.S.-Japan auto trade have concluded that Japan does not maintain trade barriers to U.S. vehicle or parts exports.
- The NTE IS a political document that is intended to be the basis for unilateral trade actions by the United States. It therefore does not attempt to state "both sides of the case," or to evaluate the legal, trade policy, or economic facts involved in trade issues.
- The NTE IS
selective. It ignores the dramatic successes that
U.S. vehicles and parts are having in the
Japanese market. American cars are selling well
in the Japanese market--they hold 28 percent of
the large car segment--the only
market segment the U.S. is serving.
- The NTE also
dismisses the sharp increases in Japanese auto
company purchases of U.S. built-parts--from $2.5
billion in 1986 to $15.5 billion in Fiscal Year
1993.
- The NTE fails
to recognize that these successes are the result
of purchasing decisions made on sound business
principles, not on the basis of trade pressure or
demands for enforceable commitments, and that
they could not happen if the kind of trade
barriers claimed by the U.S. existed.
- The NTE is NOT
a realistic measure of the marketplace. The U.S.
appears to be determined to base its trade
negotiations on politics, not economic facts and
analysis. No businessman in the United States or
Japan would or should make decisions to spend
billions of dollars for political, rather than
economic reasons.
- The NTE IS a
precursor to Section 301 trade actions to enforce
"trade agreements" or to attack
"anticompetitive practices." Since the
U.S. unilaterally decides what is a violation of
Section 301, the U.S. is building a
"case" for retaliation if Japan will
not agree to managed trade demands.
- The NTE is
thus NOT a basis for sound bilateral trade
relations. Japanese auto companies simply cannot
undertake to agree to demands for managed trade
on the basis of allegations that are not
objective, not analytical, and not based on fact.
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